Major
(NFL) Indianapolis vs. Carolina,
Point Spread: 7.00 | -115.00 Indianapolis (Away)
Result: Win
This fits into a few angles that essentially say when there is a big mismatch in terms of margin of cover season-to-date, go with the inferior team. Everything had gone well for Cam Newton but he is off his first tough performance of the season. It is a classic overachieving versus underacheiving and in a league built on regression to the mean, we take advantage of an overlay here.