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(MLB) St. Louis vs. Chi Cubs,
Money Line: -162.00 Chi Cubs (Home)
Result: Win
The set-up: The Cubs' six-game winning streak came to a crashing halt on Friday, when the Cardinals scored nine runs with no outs in the eighth, for an 11-4 win at Wrigley. However, the entire NL Central got much tighter, as with Milwaukee's loss at Philly (6th straight), the Cubs remained just one game back of the Brewers while Pittsburgh's sixth straight win (12th in 14 games) saw the Pirates close to withing two games of first place. The Cards' big win over the Cubs moved them within 3 1/2 of the Brewersrs square off here.

The pitching matchup: Adam Wainwright (11-5 & 5.08 ERA) takes the hill for the Cards and Jon Lester (6-6 & 4.07 ERA) for the Cubs. Wainwright got off to a terrible start in 2017 (0-3 with a 7.24 ERA) but is 11-2 over his last 16 starts (Cards are 12-4). Wainwright has won his last four starts and has mostly been dominant since mid-May. He's allowed two ERs or less in nine of his last 12 starts but in those other three, has been downright awful. Wainwright has allowed 24 ERs over just 10 1/3 innings in those three outings, the reason his ERA is still plus-5.00 on the season. Wainwright has seen plenty of the Cards in his career, going is 14-9 with a 4.09 ERA in 42 games (33 starts / Cards are 21-12) against them. Lester allowed 10 runs (four earned) while failing to get out of the first inning in his final start before the All-Star break but in his first start after the break, held Atlanta to one run on three hits over seven innings on Monday to snap a two-start losing streak with a 4-3 win. Lester is just 5-5 in 15 starts against the Cards (teams are 8-7 ) and is win-less in three meetings against them this season (he's 0-1 with a 3.78 ERA and the Cubs 1-2).

The pick: The Cubs held a 3-2 lead into the eighth yesterday, before that nine-run inning by the Cards ruined their six-game winning streak. These are two bitter rivals and teh Cubs know that if they had held on, they would have woken up Saturday morning tied for first in the division. Two quality pitchers square off hereand I'm on the home team behind Lester, who I believe, will have another excellent second half just like in 2016. Note that in his 15 career starts against St. Louis, Lester owns a 2.19 ERA! Make the Cubs an 8* play.