Even though the Cardinals have been playing a little better, they are still a below .500 team. The Phillies have the best record in baseball at 41-18. Philadelphia also has won eight consecutive home games.

So, why such a low lay price on the home Phillies?

Why, indeed. Puzzles me. But I'm happy to lay what I consider a short number to back the far superior team.

Perhaps it's the pitching matchup of veteran Lance Lynn with a 3.45 ERA going against a disappointing Taijuan Walker, who has a 5.51 ERA.

Lynn, though, is well past his prime. He's surrendered four earned runs in three of his last five starts. He hasn't gone more than six innings during any of these outings.

Walker is 30-12 during the past three seasons. He's due to pitch better. He's also backed by the better bullpen.

The Phillies lead the majors in runs scored, while the Cardinals rank 26th. So Lynn has the far more difficult task.