Florida is coming on again, playing well. But I'm going to take a plus price to back the Penguins at home in a very important game for them.

The Penguins are getting to a crucial stage following consecutive one-goal road losses to the Wild and Jets. They need this game - and they've had three full days to get ready.

Pittsburgh is 9-2-3 in its last 14 home games. I trust the Penguins' resolve - at least for now.

Florida doesn't figure to be as desperate as Pittsburgh after shutting out the Avalanche, 4-0, in its last game.