I hold a lot of respect for Corbin Burnes and the Orioles.

But I'm not going to turn down Cole Ragans at this underdog price. Ragans averages 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings, which is best in the American League. He has a 2.87 road ERA.

Baltimore went just 5-5 in Burnes' last 10 starts. Burnes had a mediocre 4.04 ERA during this home stretch.

The Orioles' bullpen hasn't been reliable either. During the last three months, the Orioles' bullpen has had the fifth-highest ERA.