I like taking this many points with an SEC team in a non-conference matchup, even a lower-tier one such as Arkansas. 

This could be a make or break year for Sam Pittman and the Razorbacks after they went 4-8 last year. Note, though, that five of those defeats were by seven points or fewer.

I can't stand Bobby Petrino as a person. But give the devil his due because he's a heck of a college football offensive coordinator. Pittman hired Petrino and all the Razorbacks did in their opener was bury Arkansas-Pine Bluff, 70-0, scoring a touchdown on all 10 of their drives. Can't be more perfect than that. 

Oklahoma State beat a much stronger FCS opponent in its opener last week. The Cowboys defeated South Dakota State, 44-20. South Dakota State is the reigning FCS champion. The score wasn't as lopsided as you might think, though, judging by statistics. Oklahoma State wasn't impressive running the ball and only outgained the Jackrabbits overall by six yards. 

A major takeaway from Arkansas' win was the play of transfer QB Taylen Green from Boise State. The dual threat looked extremely comfortable operating the Razorbacks' quarterback friendly offense accounting for 317 yards and four touchdowns before taking a seat. Oklahoma State has had problems with mobile quarterbacks. The Cowboys also surrendered the most big plays of any Big 12 team last season. Oklahoma State allowed an average of 39.5 points during its last four regular season games in 2023. 

Ollie Gordon gives the Cowboys perhaps the top running back in the country. The defensive strength of Arkansas is its huge defensive line. So the Razorbacks can keep Gordon from running wild while producing enough points to stay close if not pull the outright upset.