Nevada nearly upset SMU as a four-touchdown underdog last week losing by only five points. The Wolf Pack didn't even play that well. They should do better now having had a game under their belt under their first-year head coach Jeff Choate.

Troy has been a good Sun Belt Conference team for many years. But now the Trojans are in rebuilt mode under their first-year head coach, Gerad Parker. The Trojans return just 38 scholarship players, which is the third-fewest in the country.

Unlike Nevada, Troy hasn't played yet. That puts the Trojans at a huge disadvantage.

This isn't the Troy of past seasons. I expect improvement from the Wolf Pack so I'll ride with them again this week in this point spread range.