If they didn't know it already, the Astros are going to learn fast that their recently acquired starter, Yusei Kikuchi, gives up a lot of homers. Kikuchi has allowed an average of 25.6 home runs during the past three seasons. He's on pace again this season, having surrendered 19 homers.

During his past 11 starts, Kikuchi has a 6.23 ERA, allowing an average of two home runs per nine innings.

The Over is 19-6-1 (76%) in Boston's last 26 games. Only five teams have hit more homers this year than the Red Sox. The Red Sox also lead the American League in runs per game at 6.1 since the All-Star break.

The Astros average nearly five runs per game when playing home. They're going against Tanner Houck, who has tailed off with a 4.98 ERA in his last eight starts. The Red Sox's bullpen has the fifth-highest ERA and highest ERA since July.

It's an added bonus if Alex Bregman is able to play after missing the past three games because of an elbow injury.