The Mets may not score 15 runs like they did against the Twins on Monday night. But they just might cover the Over by themselves facing rookie pitcher David Festa and with the wind blowing out to left field at 14-to-17 miles per hour.

New York is averaging more than five runs a game when playing at night. Festa is considered by some to be Minnesota's top pitching prospect. But he hasn't shown he's ready for the big league during his three appearances this season. He's thrown 14 1/3 innings and been roughed up for 13 runs and five homers. Only three teams have homered more than the Mets this year.

The Twins should contribute their part to the Over going against lefty Sean Manaea, who is in bad form with a 5.40 ERA in his last three starts. The Twins are batting a league-best .276 against lefties. They also rank third in slugging percentage and fourth in OPS when facing southpaw pitching.