This very well could be Bill Belichick's final game as head coach of the Patriots after 24 seasons. I don't see Belichick losing at home to the Jets, a rivalry opponent his Patriots have beaten 15 times in a row! 

New England has kept its poise under Belichick despite skill position deficiencies. The Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last four games with straight-up upset victories against the Steelers and Broncos.
 
The Jets have collapsed under the weight of horrendous quarterback play going 2-7 SU, 1-8 ATS. Defense had been New York's strength. But the Jets defense has worn down from being on the field so much this season. New York has allowed an average of 31.6 points in its last three games. The Jets just were lit up by 38-year-old Joe Flacco this past Thursday losing, 37-20. 

Bailey Zappe has completed 70.3 percent of his passes during the last four games for 885 yards and six touchdowns. The Jets can't match that through the air with a quarterback choice of either Trevor Siemian or Zach Wilson if he's healthy. The Patriots have held the Jets to an average of 9.8 points during the last five meetings, including a 15-10 win earlier this season.