Stephen Nover's MLB Total of the Week
(MLB) Minnesota vs. Cleveland,
Total: 9.50 | 102.00 Under
Result: Win
Both the Twins and Indians average slightly better than five runs scored per game, each ranking in the top-six in this most important category.

The pitching matchup is Bartolo Colon versus Josh Tomlin in a battle of fifth-starter types. I see no reason why these two teams shouldn't match at least their season figure in runs scored especially given this starting pitching matchup.

Colon is 44 - and showing his age. He's completely worn down posting a 9.17 ERA in his four September starts. He was pounded for six runs in 3 1/3 innings against the Yankees in his last start this past Wednesday. Colon really shouldn't be in the majors anymore. He was 2-8 with a hideous 8.14 ERA in 13 starts with the Braves before going to the Twins. He's posted a losing record with the Twins with a 5.33 ERA.

The Indians are sacrificing some defense to get Jason Kipnis' bat in the lineup. The second baseman is now playing center field.

Tomlin has a 4.98 ERA. He doesn't pitch deep into games. The Twins have a good history against him. Tomlin has a losing record versus Minnesota with a 5.21 ERA in 17 appearances.

The Twins are swinging very hot bats scoring 39 runs in their last four games.