Stephen Nover's Run Line Game of the Month
(MLB) Miami vs. Arizona,
Point Spread: -1.50 | -113.00 Arizona (Home)
Result: Win
The Marlins face a double whammy here going against a dominant Zack Greinke on the road and pitching Adam Conley.
The Diamondbacks have been absolutely dominant when Greinke takes on sub .500 teams winning 22 of the last 26 times. Arizona is 13-1 the past 14 times Greinke has pitched against opponents with a losing record at Chase Field. Greinke has a 1.56 ERA in his last five stats. Lifetime versus the Marlins, Greinke is 5-0 with a 2.75 ERA.
Greinke has a 1.23 ERA this month and has held opposing hitters to a below .200 average at home this season.
Conley has stuggled most of the season and is in bad form with a 5.96 ERA in his last five starts. He's allowed seven homers in his past four starts. That bodes bad for him at hitter-friendly Chase Field against a powerful Diamondbacks lineup featuring Paul Goldschmidt, A.J. Pollock and J.D. Martinez.