Stephen Nover's 5-0 CFB Totals Sweep
(NCAAF) Air Force vs. Michigan,
Total: 48.00 | 100.00 Under
Result: Loss
The marketplace reacted way too violently betting this game down too low. This sets up a value play on the Over.

Yes, Air Force is a running team and Michigan didn't play that well versus Cincinnati last week.

But the Wolverines have a balanced offense and are capable of putting up plenty of points here especially if they cut back - as they will - on turnovers. The Falcons have just one starter back on defense from last season.

Air Force piled up 457 yards on the ground in a 62-0 blanking of VMI two weeks ago. The Falcons were idle last week so they should be fresh. Michigan, like Air Force, only returns one defensive starter from last season.