The pace is going to be slow here. St. Mary's milks the shot clock and Texas-Arlington is playing less up-tempo this season. The Mavericks have gone under in their last seven games and gone below the total in 19 of their past 26 road matchups.

Arlington plays tough perimeter defense so St. Mary's is likely going to go deep into the shot clock before shooting.

The Mavericks aren't a good free throw shooting team and St. Mary's doesn't draw many fouls. So look for defense to rule here.