Baltimore is 58-42. Minnesota is 37-63, the worst record in the American League. That's a sampling of 100 games. The verdict is in and the Orioles are much superior to the Twins.

So why did the Twins open a favorite here? Home field isn't that strong of a factor.

The big reason is Baltimore is throwing Ubaldo Jimenez, who is 5-9 with a 7.38 ERA. Jimenez, though, loves to pitch at Target Field where he's 4-1 lifetime with a 1.82 ERA.

Jimenez's wife just gave birth to his first daughter. He's relaxed now and should be strong having not pitched in nearly three weeks. I'm expecting a big game from Jimenez and the Orioles, who have a vastly superior offense to the Twins.

Twins starter Kyle Gibson is coming off his best game, but has always lacked consistency.