Both starters are in bad form. Aaron Nola has given up 10 earned runs on 15 hits in his last two starts spanning less than seven innings. Twins starter Tyler Duffey is just plain bad. He's 0-3 with an 8.55 ERA during his last four starts. Duffey has been bad at home, too, with a 6.67 ERA in five home outings.

The Phillies have a better offense than they've shown and the Twins are on a huge 13-1-1 run to the over.

The Twins' bullpen has been a disaster area, while the Phillies' bullpen has regressed and is facing fatigue issues.