No, you can't have a total this low when Jeff Locke is one of the starting pitchers.

Locke has a 5.92 ERA. He's given up 18 runs on 20 hits and four walks during his past two starts spanning only 8 2/3 innings. The over has cashed in each of his last nine home stars.

Madison Bumgarner is an elite pitcher and in excellent form. But he's allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last five starts versus the Pirates. This isn't a surprise considering the Pirates hit lefties having the seventh highest weighted on base average versus them.

There is a chance of rain, which could mean Bumgarner may not pitch his normal amount. There also is a slight wind blowing out.