Stephen Nover's Thursday Spread Crusher
(NFL) Green Bay vs. Detroit,
Total: 46.50 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
Detroit is going to get its points. So is Green Bay.

The Packers scored 30 points at Minnesota the last time their backs were to the wall. That was against a much stronger defense.

Green Bay's offense has underachieved after leading the NFL in scoring last year at more than 30 points a game. But the Packers still are in the top 12 averaging just under 24 points a game.

Aaron Rodgers has a strong history against the Lions with a 24-to-5 touchdown-to-interception ratio in his last 13 games versus them. Eddie Lacy is running better and Green Bay's offensive line is one of the best in the league. The Packers were caught by surprise by the Lions playing press coverage during the first meeting. They won't be if the Lions try that again.

Since that game the Lions lost veteran nickel back Josh Wilson and may be without free safety Glover Quin, who is the quarterback of Detroit's secondary and probably their third best defensive player in back of pass rusher Ezekiel Ansah and linebacker DeAndre Levy, who is out for the season. Quin suffered an ankle injury in the Lions' blowout win against the Eagles last Thursday.

The Lions would lose a lot if Quin can't play. He would be replaced by James Ihedigbo, who is a veteran but lacks speed. He was burned by Jordan Matthews on a 24-yard touchdown catch after replacing Quin.

Green Bay's receiving corps has been disappointing obviously missing Jordy Nelson. But Randall Cobb would rate a huge edge against rookie Quandre Diggs in the slot. Davonte Adams, James Jones and No. 4 wide receiver, underrated and now healthy Jared Abbrederis, would rate edges against starting cornerbacks Darius Slay and Nevin Lawson along with No. 4 defensive back Crezdon Butler thanks to Rodgers.

There shouldn't be any missed field goals either. Mason Crosby and Matt Prater are a combined 33-for-35 in field goals and will be kicking in a dome.