The Lions rank last in the NFL in points allowed giving up 30.6 a game. The Packers' offense is ready to explode after consecutive road games against the Broncos and Panthers.

Now the Packers get their perfect patsy in the Lions. Detroit's defense has not been able to overcome the loss of linebacker DeAndre Levy and defection of lineman Ndamukong Suh. Without those two, the Lions don't have a single above average defender.

Green Bay can take advantage being back at home especially with the obvious move to install James Starks as the primary runner ahead of ineffective Eddie Lacy. Starks also is a much better target out of the backfield than Lacy.

The Lions' offense has underachieved. It should be better coming out of a bye. The Packers are banged-up in the secondary and some of their statistics are skewed by playing a number of weak offenses. It was just two years ago the Lions put up 40 points on the Packers, although that came in Detroit.

The over has cashed five of the last six times the Packers have played in division and five of the past six times the Packers lost the previous week.