None of the last six games in this series have gone over the total. I see that trend continuing here.

The Bills have a top-four defense. The Dolphins lack dynamic players at the skill positions and their best offensive lineman, left tackle Branden Albert, isn't likely to play due to a hamstring injury. Tailback Lamar Miller and tight end Jordan Cameron are banged-up, too, for Miami but I expect them to play.

Buffalo led the NFL in sacks a year ago. Their defense is just as strong this season. The Bills defense is looking for redemption, too, after getting buried at home last week by the high-scoring Patriots. Miami is averaging 10.6 points its last three games against Buffalo.

Look for the Dolphins to show well defensively, too. Bill Belichick showed the blueprint on how to stop Tyrod Taylor and that's keep him in the pocket. This is Taylor's first road start in the NFL. The Dolphins' run defense should improve each game as Ndamukong Suh and his new teammates get more comfortable with each other.