There can be a tendency to overthink sometimes especially in the NFL. This game is an example of this.

The Bengals are one of the few NFL teams without a glaring weakness. They made the playoffs each of the past four seasons. Their offense should be better this season with a return to health of A.J. Green, Marvin Jones and underrated tight end Tyler Eifert.

Oakland should be slightly improved this season. But the Raiders are still at least two levels behind the Bengals projected to have the third-fewest victories of any team.

The Raiders lost six game by 16 or more points last season. Derek Carr has yet to show he's more than just a check down quarterback. Oakland was held to 14 points or fewer in 62 percent of its games last season.

Bottom line: The Raiders still are short on talent and depth. They simply aren't strong enough to hang within this short point spread of the Bengals.