PREMIUM
Stephen Nover's Thursday Top Totals Crusher
(MLB) Atlanta vs. Colorado,
Total: 10.50 | 105.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 10.50 | 105.00 Over
Result: Win
Anytime Kyle Kendrick takes the mound at Coors Field it's not surprising to see a total above 10. Kendrick has surrendered the most homers in the league. He's really a bad fit for any team's rotation, especially pitching at Coors Field with his fly ball tendencies.
Still, in analyzing this matchup the under appears to be a solid play.
Kendrick catches a break because the Braves have hit the fewest homers in the majors. Freddie Freeman leads Atlanta in batting average and homers. He's the key to the Braves' offense. Freeman has been out, though, since June 18 with a wrist injury.
During the 19 games that Freeman has missed, Atlanta has been held to four or fewer runs 15 times. If you discount a nine-run game against the Phillies and their discarded starter, Kevin Correia, the Braves are averaging 2.3 runs during their past 15 games.
Atlanta's lineup is very weak without Freeman especially the bottom three spots. Journeyman Kelly Johnson bats cleanup against right-handed pitchers.
Kendrick also has good lifetime numbers versus Atlanta going 9-4 with a 3.44 ERA in 20 career starts.
Braves starter Alex Wood showed a lot of promise last season. He got off to a slow start this year, but has come back to give up three earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 11 starts.
The Rockies' offense is down with Corey Dickerson and defending batting champion Justin Morneau on the DL. Carlos Gonzalez is having a terrible season. Colorado is averaging a puny 2.3 runs per game during its last 10 games.
Still, in analyzing this matchup the under appears to be a solid play.
Kendrick catches a break because the Braves have hit the fewest homers in the majors. Freddie Freeman leads Atlanta in batting average and homers. He's the key to the Braves' offense. Freeman has been out, though, since June 18 with a wrist injury.
During the 19 games that Freeman has missed, Atlanta has been held to four or fewer runs 15 times. If you discount a nine-run game against the Phillies and their discarded starter, Kevin Correia, the Braves are averaging 2.3 runs during their past 15 games.
Atlanta's lineup is very weak without Freeman especially the bottom three spots. Journeyman Kelly Johnson bats cleanup against right-handed pitchers.
Kendrick also has good lifetime numbers versus Atlanta going 9-4 with a 3.44 ERA in 20 career starts.
Braves starter Alex Wood showed a lot of promise last season. He got off to a slow start this year, but has come back to give up three earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 11 starts.
The Rockies' offense is down with Corey Dickerson and defending batting champion Justin Morneau on the DL. Carlos Gonzalez is having a terrible season. Colorado is averaging a puny 2.3 runs per game during its last 10 games.
