Stephen Nover's Run Line Game of the Year
(MLB) Philadelphia vs. LA Dodgers,
Point Spread: -1.50 | -130.00 LA Dodgers (Home)
Result: Win
The won/lost record is skewed by bad run support, but Clayton Kershaw not initially being picked to the NL All-Star team is a joke.




Kershaw is going to be pitching against the Phillies, the worst team in the majors, with a chip on his shoulder. And the Dodgers won't be taking the Phillies lightly after losing, 7-2, to them last night.




If ever there was a kill spot in baseball this is it.




The Phillies are 11-32 on the road, worst in the majors. They are 1-14-1 in their last 16 away series. The Dodgers have won 68 percent of their last 59 home games going 40-19.




Philadelphia has lost 41 games by more than one run. There are 10 teams who haven't lost 41 games all season.




Kershaw still is the best pitcher in baseball. The three-time Cy Young Award winner leads the NL in strikeouts with 147 and has his highest career strikeout-per-nine inning ratio at 11.6. His walks per nine innings are down from his career average of 2.7 and his FIP, a metric that determines the quality of a pitching performance, is No. 2 in the National League.




The southpaw has dominated the Phillies with a 1.73 ERA against them in his last six starts. Philadelphia has lost seven of the past nine times facing a lefty.




The Phillies are starting rookie Adam Morgan, who has a 2.13 ERA in his first two starts. Expect a huge regression from Morgan as the league sees more of him. Morgan was 13-28 in 69 minor league games with a 3.53 ERA.