Stephen Nover's 10-Dime Total of the Week
(MLB) LA Angels vs. Arizona,
Total: 8.50 | 100.00 Under
Result: Loss
Both starting pitchers - Hector Santiago and Chase Anderson - have been pitching above their heads. This is a dangerous spot for both of them.




Santiago is a flyball pitcher, who has surrendered four homers during his past two starts. His .221 BABIP against men on base and .146 BABIP with runners in scoring position are due for a regression.




The over has cashed in six of Santiago's last eight starts. Chase Field is an excellent hitter's park not conducive for a fly ball pitcher. The over is 14-4-3 in Arizona's last 21 games at Chase Field.




Anderson is off a hugely-satisfying 1-0 road win against Madison Bumgarner. Anderson nearly threw a no-hitter in that game. The right-hander, though, has had a big drop in strikeouts this season. He may not be as mentally sharp for this interleague matchup. The Angels have gone over seven of the past eight times when facing a right-handed starter on the road.




Anderson also has to deal with a pair of hot hitters in the resurgent Albert Pujols, who is batting .368 with 11 homers and 19 RBI during his last 18 games, and defending AL MVP Mike Trout, who is hitting .368 in his last 10 games with four homers.




Jim Wolf is the slated home plate umpire. The over has cashed 56 percent of the time during the last two years when he's been behind the dish. It's interesting to note that in Wolf's last 26 interleague games behind the plate the over is 18-7-1 for 72 percent.