Stephen Nover's NCAA Tourney Game of the Month
(NCAAB) Michigan State vs. Duke,
Point Spread: -5.50 | -110.00 Duke (Home)
Result: Win
A lot has changed since Duke defeated Michigan State by 10 points back on Nov. 18 in the Champions Classic.




But two major things haven't changed. Tom Izzo still can't beat Duke. The Spartans are 1-8 versus the Blue Devils under Izzo and Michigan State still has no answer for big man Jahil Okafor.




Both teams are playing strong defense. The Spartans, though, can't match up to Duke's top-end talent.




Okafor destroyed the Spartans in the first meeting. The Spartans can't get around that. If they double-team Okafor, the Blue Devils have the excellent perimeter game to take advantage especially from 3-point range.




The Spartans have overachieved to get this far. Duke is a legitimate top three team with perhaps the second-best talent in the country next to Kentucky. The Blue Devils have the big man, pedigree and coaching to get it done again with a convincing victory. They are 18-7-1 (72%) ATS the past 26 times when facing opponents with a winning percentage above .600.