Georgia Southern has the defense to pull off the upset in this Sun Belt Conference Tournament title game.




The Eagles are giving up fewer than 61 points a game. They rank in the top 45 in scoring defense, defensive field goal percentage and 3-point defensive percentage. Georgia State is not a strong 3-point shooting team hitting less than 34 percent from beyond the arc.




Georgia Southern has covered 10 of its 13 non-home games. Georgia State is 4-10 ATS the past 14 times facing an opponent with a winning percentage above .600. The Panthers have yet to prove they know how to close games and their second-leading scorer, Ryan Harrow, is far from 100 percent due to a hip injury he sustained last week.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is one of the hottest 'cappers in the country going 22-12 on his last 34 premium college basketball plays and 29-17 on his past 46 premium NBA plays for a combined mark of 51-29 (64%). Stephen's Sunday card is headed by a top NBA sides play.)