#451 ASA PLAY 8* ON Cleveland -3 over Cincinnati, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - The Browns looked terrible in last week’s 38-7 loss @ Pittsburgh and we expect them to bounce back and play very well this week. Cleveland has lost @ Pitt and @ Baltimore and then beaten all of the teams they should have beaten (Browns favored) in every other game. Against everyone not named the Steelers or Ravens, this Cleveland offense has averaged 37 PPG with an average margin of victory of 10 points. One of those games was against this Bengal team in the 2nd game of the season, a game the Browns won 35-30. It wasn’t as close as the final score as Cleveland dominated averaging 7.5 YPP in the game to just 4.0 YPP for Cincy. The Bengals scored a TD with 43 seconds remaining in the game to cut the lead down to 5. Cincinnati ran 30 MORE offensive plays in the game and still lost by 5! The Bengal offense ranks near the bottom of the NFL in scoring, YPG, YPP, and 3rd down efficiency. We just don’t see them keeping up here. They also could be a bit demoralized after blowing a big lead vs the Colts last week in a 31-27 loss. Again they were dominated on the stat sheet in that game allowing Indy 7.2 YPP while gaining just 5.5. Their lone win this year was against Jacksonville, who along with the Jets, are rated as the 2 worst teams in the NFL. While Cleveland QB Mayfield had a rib injury, we expect him to play and even if not, we’re fine with veteran Case Keenum at the helm. Cincy’s already struggling offense will be without one of it’s top weapons as RB Mixon has been ruled out with an injury. The Browns are the much better team in this match up and the situation is very good with them coming off a blowout loss. Lay the small number.