With Anunoby injured and now possibly Brunson as well, will help the Pacers secure a win at home, even if they play, as they are not 100% healthy. The Knicks are pushing their 7 man rotation to the limit and now that show goes on the road where it will be harder to maintain that scheme as they should experience some fatigue and showing injuries already. The Knicks are 1-3 against the spread this season as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. The Knicks are shooting 55.4% from the floor so expect some regression in their shooting, and expect the Pacers to tighten up on defense, limiting open free shots and getting more stops against New York. The Knicks are 1-5 against the spread this season after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better. The Knicks are 0-3 against the spread after scoring 130 points or more. This is not a good spot for the Knicks on the road, as it favors the home team. As the series shifts back to Indiana where they always play their best, the Pacers are 9-1 straight up at home in their last ten games, and 7-3 against the spread at home in their last ten games. Indiana has a deeper bench than the Knicks, and their role players will play much better now that they are at home. This team likes to run and gun and excels at getting points in transition. Haliburton, who hasn’t really had a breakout game so far in the playoffs, should excel at home as well as Siakam. The Pacers are 15-9 against the spread revenging a road loss versus an opponent this season. The Pacers are 12-4 against the spread this season after allowing 130 points or more so this team responds well after putting up a lot of points in their previous game. Indiana is 29-11 against the spread this season after a game where they failed to cover the spread. That is why there is value for bettors in laying the large spread.

Best bet: lay the points with Indiana.