I'll take the Browns as Cleveland is 5-1 at home this year, and their defense at home is very good.
Number one across the board in points, yards, and third-down percentage.
The Jags don't have Christian Kirk, they don't have Trevor Lawrence, and the backup CJ Beathard, has a bad shoulder. Jax is 5-0 on the road but too many injuries this week.
Browns QB Joe Flacco has another week under his belt with the team.
The Jags are injury-riddled and on the road, and they're also 1-16 the last 17 times they have played outdoors under 50 degrees.