The Heat only rank 27th in their ability to cover spreads, as their cover rate is only 42.4%. The injuries to Herro and Oladipo will finally start to catch up to Miami in this series, as Boston has an army of perimeter players who can score. NY struggled from the perimeter in their series vs the Heat but Boston is tough at home and Tatum and Brown are each averaging 24 or more, but they also have Smart, Brogdon, and White all averaging over 12.

Jimmy Butler is excellent, but Derrick White just made 1st team all defense, and Marcus Smart is a former Defensive Player of the Year. Boston wins and covers here in game 1 tonight.