The East Carolina Pirates are playing with confidence right now. They beat this SMU squad by five points earlier this month and just defeated Cincinnati by a 75-71 score on Wednesday. SMU is having a poor season and has dropped four out of their last five games overall. The EC Pirates have the stronger adjusted offensive efficiency rating in this matchup and scoring at least 70 points in four of their last five games. This is key as SMU is struggling defensively, giving up an average of 79 points in their last five games. I think we have some good value with the underdog EC plus the pts on Sunday afternoon.