The Hoosiers have strung together back to back wins and looked very good against Illinois. Indiana have the advantage in the paint and will also limit the ability for Michigan State to score baskets in the key.
The primary mode of points for Michigan State has been in the mid-range and the Indiana defense ranks 11th in the country in that statistic.

With the home side 8-2 ATS in this series, I'm betting on the Hoosiers to continue their hot run here on their home court.