Miami has covered the spread in seven of their last nine games, and they are also 6-0 ATS in their previous six games when following a loss. Los Angeles has been all over the place and out of sync recently. The Lakers have only covered in five of their last 18 games against a team with a winning record, and I don't tryst them here either. Lakers just beat the lowly Magic and the Heat are coming off a loss where they allowed ATL to shot 58% in the game.
I expect the Miami defense to play much better and get the home win over LeBron and LA.