Even though Utah State won nine of the last ten H-2-H encounters, the Bulldogs are having a great season so far and will be desperate to maintain their perfect home record. Fresno State won each of its eight home games this season, while the Bulldogs are 9-0 SU as favorites and are 6-1 ATS at home. These are all strong arguments to back the hosts, who are fighting for the top spot in the MWC. Fresno plays great defense, which has been the third-best in the country and I like them at home here to get the win and cover.