I expect the pitching to dominate on both sides here as neither pitcher gives up the longball.

I think Verlander shuts the Yankees bats down as he is 1-0 with a 4.15 ERA in 2 starts vs Yankees this year and 10-4 2.34 ERA at home with opponents batting .180 against him at home. For the Yanks James Paxton is 8-3 with a 4.33 ERA on the road and the Under is 11-3 in Yankees last 14 vs. a team with a winning record and the Under is 13-5-1 in Verlanders last 19 home starts.
Look for another UNDER here in game 2 on Sunday night.