Utah State's offense averaged 47.5 ppg last year and the team won 11 games. That's not going to happen this year with just two starters back, but one of them is QB Jordan Love, who knows how to win.

I think the wrong team is favored in this one. Utah State went 11-2 last year, and their two losses came on the road against two excellent programs (Michigan Stats and Boise State), each by only single digits.
Wake also don't have that big of a home-field edge, either, as evidenced by their 1-6 record ATS at home in 2018. Take Utah State plus the points in what a expect is a tight game throughout.