New England has the right offense to attack the Jags. They have TE's and RB's who catch passes and expose their defense just like the SF 49ers did to Jax.
The Patriots have a huge edge in quarterback play and I just do not believe Blake Bortles can repeat his performance from last week. New England has great success covering these big numbers and at some point, in this game QB Brady will pick them apart in the passing game. Despite covering the spread last week, Jacksonville is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road playoff games.


New England will keep Blake Bortles from making the big plays on 3rd down and New England will force Jacksonville to try and make those plays on 3rd and long. With 4 picks, and just 1 TD, along with completing around just 53% on the season on 3rd and 7 or more yards - I trust New England and their LBs. I don't trust the WRs of Jacksonville to make those plays when needed.


Jacksonville has scored only 10 pts in 2 of their last 3 games - here, in New England, their scoring goes back to normal. Jacksonville is coming off an enormous and emotional win vs the Steelers, this is the letdown spot for them.


Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 playoff home games and I like them to win by double digits as our 10* NFL PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE YEAR.