Blake Bortles hasn't found himself chucking the ball as errantly as he has in the past - and Jacksonville has been good with their running game. Indianapolis is quite the opposite - they have struggled with moving the ball on the ground as their backs have not been finding holes. Marqise Lee is a solid route running receiver and is picking up a high end 15 YPC. The 3rd ranked pass coverage of Jacksonville is going to be chasing the Colts WRs around the field all game long, which means bad things for Indianapolis. If the 2-4 Colts want to try and get back to being back to at least respectable in the AFC South then they have to learn how to beat teams like Jacksonville. Playing Jacksonville and their nasty defense isn't the best way to change their anemic scoring ways. Jags RB Leonard Fournette is gifted runner and extremely strong - his ability to hit head on is going to give problems to DBs coming to tackle him on the outside. At the very least - for Indianapolis to try to beat Jacksonville on the field their offense has to get much better, this isn't that game. Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC South. Jacksonville wins this one on Sunday as your FREE PICK in NFL action.