Houston has three wins over okay foes but is struggling without a quality QB. Pittsburgh has bounced back from their previous losses each win by eight or more. Constantly on the field, the highly touched Houston defense allows 397 total yards per game versus teams normally getting just 365.

It is also a very strong sharp versus square, which is when our Vegas, offshore, and outlaw contacts tell us the majority of sharp money is betting one team, the square money the other. We go with the smart money as contrarian betting is used by many professional gamblers.