As we have told you for years, the sharp version of the MNF home underdog always said bad underdogs were a good go-against. Historically MNF home underdogs winning percentage of .390 or less are 39-55 just 42 percent.

The Rams have blitzed (by percentage) more than any team in the league, but that's not the way to handle Kaepernick, who had a big performance against the blitz last week when he went 6-of-10 passing for 129 yards against Kansas City, with all of his completions against the blitz gaining first downs.

Yes the Rams Austin Davis has played well, but so often QBs have short-term success with element of surprise and the team rallying around adversity but a point of diminishing return is reached.

He is going against a Niners defense that holds teams to .5 yards per rushing attempt below their normal average and .8 yards per pass below