Duke is in a bubble burst situation. That is going against a good team off their first loss. We still to facts and our research has found that a bye week has not helped heal the wounds of a first loss and very much still applies. Our true line (previously known as outlaw line) is -6. The true line is what the line would be without public perception or bad line moves. While not overwhelming, it corroborates a strong angle.

Quite frankly Duke lost the only quality foe they played. Their most impressive win was at home to Kansas, a team so bad they fired their coach.