Well Buffalo has gone over by an average of 15.2 points per game the fifth highest in the country, while Bowling Green has gone over by an average of 14.1 points per game.

Bowling Green is third in the country in terms of offensive snaps, while Buffalo is 25th. It is a general, but accurate rule of thumb that up-tempo teams do not like to face up-tempo offenses. In part, it means both defenses will get winded. Defensive players are always in pursuit, while once the ball passes the line of scrimmage, offensive linemen are generally done.

Buffalo is allowing 9.6 yards per pass versus teams normally getting 8.6 and 4.2 yards per rushing attempt to 3.8. Bowling Green is more pathetic on defense allowing 5.7 yards per rushing attempt to 4.6 and 8.4 yards per pass to 7.1. Yes I know this is an exception to our system, but we know the rules and the exceptions (in which I may pass) and the extreme exceptions like this in which the over is still the bet.