Bowling Green games have gone over by an average of 13 points per game as they play a much more up-tempo offense. Ditto for UMass who have seen their games go over by an average of 10.2. BG averages 84.7 snaps per game. Yes I know their starting QB Matt Johnson is out for the year, but they are not slowing down their pace.

BG allows teams to get a full yard per play above their normal average. UMass averages 7.3 yards per pass to teams normally allowing 6.7. So after playing four power conference foes including Vanderbilt and Penn State on the road, they will explode versus the weakest defense they faced all season.