Going against home favorites of 150 or more with a starting pitcher who gave up two or fewer runs in each of his last two outings against starting pitcher whose ERA is 7.00 or higher last five starts is +120.5 units including 5-2 this season +6.3.

Yes we have lessened the impact of systems somewhat, but this one more than personifies my professional observations over the decades of betting as to when pitchers are over and undervalued. Those numbers truly speak for themselves. KC is 7-2 overall.