Going with a team averaging .35 or fewer stolen bases per game versus an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is .250 or less in his last three starts is 334-219 +96.4 units.

Pittsburgh has lost 4-of-5. The Reds are 6-1 the last seven. Pittsburgh is 2-7 in Charlie Morton last nine starts. The Reds are 4-1 the last five with Mike Leake. Pirates are 10-26 in Mortons last 36 starts when their opponent scored fives runs or more in their previous game. Reds 13-3 to teams with a winning record and 74-28 in their last 102 after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. The Reds are 6-1 in the series.