The Reds are 6-1 last seven overall and on the road. Pittsburgh has flopped in three straight. The Reds have won five straight with Homer Bailey. His ERA and WHIP in that period are 3.51 and 1.20. Pittsburgh is 0-2 at home with Locke. The Reds have won five straight in the series, all in the Burgh.

In 17 starts to the Bucs, Bailey sports an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.159. The last five games Cincinnati has a slugging percentage edge of .474 to .418. The Reds are 47-18 with Bailey to teams with a losing record. Pirates are 21-51 after losing first two games of the series.