Miami has established their superiority. They have completely dominated the last six quarters. With Chris Bosh back in the groove, we have all metrics pointing towards at least a seven or eight point win.

Indiana is a dichotomous spread and straight up team. This means if a team is consistently winning outright but failing to cover or losing outright and covering, we ride the spread streak. This has proven to be a way to isolate over and undervalued teams. At 65-34 overall, they are 15-35 against the spread plus a push in their last 51.