Going with a team averaging .35 or fewer stolen bases per game versus an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.000 or less in his last three starts is 315-201 +100.4 units.

Miami is a rancid 1-8 on the road -7.2 units batting average and OBP of .220 and .287. The home team is 17-5 in their games. In two road starts, Henderson Alvarez has WHIP of 1.971. NY is 14-6 in the series.