As we have proven, the so called NBA zig-zag theory is a virtual wash. It is above .500 long-term but a slight loss with the juice. However, various bounce back angles which take several other factors into consideration do win long-term.

Home teams off an 11 point or more road loss in zig-zag is a strong play. One win does not mean the Pacers slump is over. They are dichotomous spread and straight up team. This means if a team is consistently winning outright but failing to cover or losing outright and covering, we ride the spread streak. This has proven to be a way to isolate over and undervalued teams. They are 6-21 against the spread on the road despite as 57-27 straight up overall mark.

In home/road splits, Indiana is outscored by 1.6 on the road while Atlanta is outscoring teams by 1.8 at home. Atlanta is 14-2 straight up at home in the series.