Off a miracle year, we knew Pittsburgh would come in a bit overrated and now they have lost three straight. Their batting average and OBP of .221 and .295 is worse on the road at 0.214 and .278. Granted Johnny Cueto has gotten little run support but his ERA and WHIP of 2.14 and 1.000 in his three starts is daunting. The entire Bucs pitching staff is checkmarked as potentially overvalued with a track record of one-year.

Francisco Liriano has given up four earned runs in six innings in each of his last two. Cueto has a personal 13-5 and team 14-8 record to Pittsburgh with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.049. He is actually 13-4 the last 17. The Reds are 4-1 to Liriano.